shoots develop

shoots develop <subcommand> [options]

Everyday pair — these wrap the steps below with conventional paths under ~/.shoots/develop, so nothing has to be remembered between sessions:

The individual steps, still there whenever the convention is not what you want:

export is the only step that touches ONNX / exiftool for pixels; refresh-targets needs exiftool but no image decoding. train, predict and diagnose are pure maths over the exported dataset.

For the conceptual background — what is predicted, why deltas, how to read the go/no-go metric — see the Develop predictor guide.

---

The everyday pipeline#

# once, from a catalog you have already developed
shoots develop init ~/Catalogs/2025

# per shoot — sidecars land next to the photographs
shoots develop edit ~/Shoots/2026-07-19

# after developing them in Lightroom — the whole loop, in order
shoots develop refine ~/Shoots/2026-07-19

# when the working files pile up
shoots develop clean

Everything lives under ~/.shoots/develop (override the root with SHOOTS_HOME):

develop/
  export/export.jsonl              the training dataset      ← init
  profile/export.json              the fitted style profile  ← init, calibrate
  feedback.jsonl                   every correction, ever    ← feedback → calibrate
  export/shooting/<folder>/        one directory per shoot   ← edit
    export.jsonl                     what the shoot looks like
    prediction.json                  what we proposed        → feedback

feedback.jsonl is the one file here that cannot be rebuilt — clean never touches it, --all or not.

Every one of these accepts --dry-run.

---

shoots develop init#

export --edited-only + train, into the conventional paths.

shoots develop init <path> [options]

It also takes every train flag — --lambda, --folds, --group-by, --boldness, --anchor-gain, --gate-threshold, --embedding-dim, --all — plus --model, --concurrency and --editor. If the export fails it stops rather than training on a half-written dataset.

---

shoots develop edit#

export + predict over one shoot. The sidecars are written next to the photographs, which is where Lightroom looks for them.

shoots develop edit <path> [options]

It refuses to overwrite your work. Writing into the photo folder means an existing edit would be replaced, so it counts the sidecars that carry one and stops. --force proceeds; --dry-run shows the plan first.

It is the last stop for triage marks#

edit is the end of cull → rate → develop, so it is where the marks those commands recorded become part of the sidecar it writes:

shoots cull ./shoot --mark
shoots rate ./shoot --mark
shoots develop edit ./shoot

One sidecar per photograph, carrying the crs: prediction, the colour label and the star rating. --dry-run counts what is pending; --no-apply-marks leaves them for shoots triage apply. Applied marks are kept (not deleted) so a discarded sidecar can be rebuilt — shoots triage clean purges them.

What survives a rewrite#

Emitting crs: means templating the whole sidecar, so edit reads what is already there and merges it back afterwards: xmp:Label, xmp:Rating, dc:subject, titles, captions and authorship are preserved. Only the develop settings are replaced — which is what the --force guard is about.

---

shoots develop status#

What is on this machine: the dataset, the profile (name, age, skill, how many parameters are gated) and the cached shoots.

shoots develop status [--json]

---

shoots develop clean#

Removes the per-shoot working directories. Both files in them are regenerable — the dataset from the photographs, the record by predicting again.

shoots develop clean [--all] [--dry-run] [--json]

--all also removes the training dataset and the profile, which cost a full export and a train to rebuild. The profile is not touched otherwise.

---

shoots develop export#

Extract CLIP embeddings, colour features and crs develop targets into a JSONL dataset.

shoots develop export <path> --out <file> [options]

Arguments#

Options#

--edited-only#

Reads crs settings from the (cheap) sidecars first, and runs the expensive embedding + render only on files that carry develop settings. On a mixed catalog this is the difference between minutes and hours.

Unedited frames carry no target, but they do describe the session. Whether that is worth exporting them is a measured question, and on the reference catalog the answer is no: session descriptions built from all 2421 frames instead of the 553 edited ones moved the weighted skill by 0.02pp. Keep using it — it is four times faster here for no measurable loss.

Do not use it when exporting a new, unedited shoot to predict on — there is nothing to filter on yet, and you would export an empty dataset.

--baseline#

Photometric features must come from a render of the image before the edit. Two strategies, both editor-agnostic:

Override the external developer with your own:

export SHOOTS_RAW_DEVELOPER=dcraw_emu
# default args already target dcraw_emu: -w -W -o 1 -q 0 -T -Z {out} {in}

# …or RawTherapee-cli with a neutral profile
export SHOOTS_RAW_DEVELOPER=rawtherapee-cli
export SHOOTS_RAW_DEVELOPER_ARGS='-Y -q -o {out} -p neutral.pp3 -c {in}'

{in} / {out} are substituted per file; the render goes to a temp dir. Only RAW files are re-rendered — rendered formats use their own pixels, and CLIP always stays on the embedded preview (it is colour-invariant).

The chosen strategy is recorded in both the dataset and the resulting profile.

Target-leak note. For proprietary RAW (CR3/NEF/ARW) the embedded preview is the camera JPEG — edit-independent, so no leak. DNG with updated previews can leak the edit into the features and should be checked.

Examples#

# Training set from an edited catalog
shoots develop export ~/Catalogs/2025-edited --edited-only --out train.jsonl

# Same, with the accurate neutral baseline
shoots develop export ~/Catalogs/2025-edited --edited-only \
  --baseline external --out train-neutral.jsonl --verbose

# A new, unedited shoot to predict on — no --edited-only
shoots develop export ~/Shoots/2026-07-new --out new.jsonl

Wrote develop dataset to train.jsonl: 3412 images, 2871 with develop settings (baseline: embedded-preview).

Dataset format#

JSONL — one record per line, plus a trailing _type: "develop-meta" line carrying the model, dimensions, baseline and summary.

{
  "file": "…/IMG_0001.CR3",
  "embedding": [/* 512 floats */],
  "features": [/* colour/photometric features */],
  "develop": { "Exposure2012": 0.35, "Contrast2012": 12, "Temperature": 5400, "…": 0 },
  "asShot": {
    "tempAsShot": 5200, "tintAsShot": 8,
    "iso": 800, "exposureComp": -0.33, "camera": "Canon EOS R5"
  },
  "treatment": "color",
  "baseProfile": "Adobe Standard v2",
  "look": "Adobe Color",
  "curve": [0, 0, 32, 22, 128, 128, 255, 255]
}

The trailing meta line additionally carries looks: each distinct Look's own serialization, stored once for the whole dataset rather than on every record.

---

shoots develop refresh-targets#

Re-read an existing dataset's supervised targets without recomputing a single pixel.

shoots develop refresh-targets --data <file> --out <file> [options]

Options#

Why it exists#

The expensive half of export is the CLIP embedding and the neutral baseline render. The targets are a cheap pass over the editor's sidecars. When the target side changes, re-exporting recomputes hours of features that did not change — on a 1045-image catalog, 7 minutes instead of hours.

Reach for it whenever the target side moves:

• a crs tag was read under the wrong name and is now fixed,
• the schema gained a parameter, or the base rendering gained the Look,
• the definition of "edited" got stricter.

It rebuilds develop / asShot / baseProfile / look / curve / treatment and keeps embedding / features exactly as they were. The output is the dataset a fresh export would have produced today, so records that no longer qualify as edited are dropped — and counted, never silently.

Files it cannot read (moved, or the share is offline) are carried through untouched and reported, rather than silently turning a real edit into an empty one.

Examples#

# After a fix to the target side — then retrain on the refreshed dataset
shoots develop refresh-targets --data train.jsonl --out train-v2.jsonl
shoots develop train --data train-v2.jsonl --name my-style --out profiles/my-style.json

Refreshed 553/553 records → train-v2.jsonl

Records that no longer carry a real edit are reported on their own line (dropped N no longer carrying a real edit), as are files that could not be read.

refresh-targets never touches your catalog. It reads sidecars and writes one new dataset file.

---

shoots develop train#

Fit the per-catalog develop profile: a multi-output ridge regression over develop deltas.

shoots develop train --data <file> --name <name> --out <file> [options]

Options#

--boldness: how far a prediction may travel#

Four separate mechanisms decide whether a slider is allowed to move: the gate that falls back to your constant, the de-shrinking that restores the reach ridge took off, and the error budget the per-frame head may spend buying it back. Each default was chosen on its own to avoid claiming more than the evidence supports. Their product is a model that emits a constant for most parameters.

--boldness moves all of them together. 0 is the safe default and reproduces the previous behaviour exactly. 1 opens the gate completely and lets the fit reach as far as it asks to.

The skill scores fall as this rises, by construction. Average error is minimised by the flat answer, so any model that moves more pays for it. A Highlights sitting at your average on every frame of a shoot is useless at any error score, and one that recovers a blown sky is worth a couple of points. Judge this one in your editor, not in a report.

The gate it moves is not a fixed number either: a parameter has to clear its own measurement noise — the spread of its skill across held-out folds — so a tightly measured 3% passes where a noisy 15% does not.

--anchor-gain: how hard to correct#

Some sliders are not predicted by regression at all. They are fitted as a correction toward your target — a dead zone where the frame is already close enough, and a gain per stop of excess outside it — which is what lets a blown frame get a large correction the fit never saw an example of.

The gain is measured from your own edits, and --anchor-gain scales it. It is not a fudge factor: your gain is a property of the shoot, not of you. Fitted inside each shoot separately on the reference catalog it runs from −0.04 to −2.61 — some weddings get their blown frames rescued at two and a half stops per stop of excess, others are left alone entirely — and the single fitted value is the average of two opposite habits.

Predicting which one a new shoot wants would be the right answer, and there is not enough data to do it: only 13 shoots carried five or more frames outside the dead zone. So the intensity is yours to set, and the measurement still decides everything else — which sliders are anchored, against what, the dead zone width, and the sign.

Raise it if the corrections feel timid on your blown frames; 1.8 roughly doubles them. The skill figures in the report describe the gain as fitted, so they do not move when you scale it.

--review: calibrate by looking#

--anchor-gain sets that intensity from the command line, in the dark. --review sets it by showing you the result: after the fit and before the profile is written, a local page opens with four sliders — exposure, highlight recovery, presence, colour — and the frames each one actually changes.

shoots develop init <catalog> --boldness 1 --review
shoots develop train --data <file> --name <name> --out <file> --review

The frames are not a sample. Each is the photograph in your catalog where that control makes its largest correction, because a correctly exposed frame looks identical at every setting — it sits inside the dead zone and nothing applies. A fifth frame sits in the middle deliberately: it should hold still, and if it does not, something is wrong you should see. Saving writes the multipliers into the profile; closing the page or pressing Ctrl-C keeps the fitted values.

Run it once per profile. The RAWs have to still be where the export found them, since the previews are rendered from the originals.

In a pipeline it will not hang. shoots pipeline runs each step as a child process with stdin ignored, so a train --review step followed by develop edit would otherwise sit on the review forever and never reach the edit — nothing wrong, just never finished, which is the worst way for a batch job to fail. The wait is therefore bounded: after --review-timeout minutes (10 by default) it keeps the fitted values and the pipeline carries on. Pass --review-timeout 0 to wait indefinitely when you know somebody is watching, and omit --review entirely for a run nobody will attend.

If you miss it, nothing is lost. Behind the screen there may be hours of export and fitting on a large catalog, and none of it has to be repeated — the profile already carries the anchors and the dataset already carries the features, so the same screen re-opens over work already paid for:

shoots develop calibrate --review

That refits nothing. Pass --profile and --data if they are not the ones develop init wrote.

The port behaves the same way. Omitted, it takes 7391 or the next free one if something already has it — nobody bookmarks this page, so moving is better than failing. Named with --review-port, it fails with the busy port and the flag rather than quietly serving somewhere else.

Colour and black-and-white are calibrated separately. A profile fits them as two branches with their own anchors, so each gets its own controls and its own frames, drawn from the records that branch will actually apply to. A branch with no photographs to show says so and keeps its fitted gains. The treatment is named on each control only when there is more than one to tell apart.

How faithful the preview is, control by control. Exposure and white balance are exact. The tone controls are monotone approximations of Camera Raw — right in direction and ordering, not in numbers. The local-contrast trio is rendered from real frequency bands on the GPU: Texture takes the detail band, Clarity the band between detail and shape, and Dehaze is a veil mixed toward the frame's own white rather than a contrast curve. They are approximations and stay approximations — Dehaze in particular knows no depth, so the amount is right and the distribution is flat. Enough to answer "too much or too little", which is the only question the screen asks.

Each treatment is fitted as two heads over shared + <branch> — one reading the shoot, one reading how far this frame departs from it — so a high-contrast B&W edit and a light colour edit never average into a mush, and two frames of the same shoot do not come back identical. See the predictor guide.

Each image is described alongside its whole shoot#

Most of a develop decision is "this shoot", not "this frame" — on a real catalog the session accounts for 26–67% of the variance of the targets. So every image also carries the mean photometric description of its folder, which is the largest single accuracy gain in this tool.

Two consequences worth knowing:

• The description uses every record in the dataset, edited or not. Exporting the unedited frames as well is therefore possible, but measured neutral on the reference catalog (0.02pp) — so --edited-only remains the sensible default.
• Predict on a shoot, not on a file. A frame's prediction depends on what else is in its folder. predict warns when images sit alone in theirs.

A branch with too few images cannot afford the extra columns and skips them; the report says which did:

  session context: 44 features describing each image's whole shoot
  session context: off — too few images in this branch to afford it

The CLIP embedding is compressed#

512 dimensions against a few hundred photographs is p≫n, and carrying them raw measured worse than dropping them. --embedding-dim (default 16) projects onto that many principal components, refitted inside every fold. 0 drops the embedding; a value at or above its dimension keeps it raw.

Regularization is per parameter#

Exposure and the HSL sliders do not want the same amount of shrinkage. Under a single shared λ the choice is made by an average that the unpredictable majority of parameters dominates — on a real catalog that pinned λ to the top of the grid and collapsed every parameter onto the photographer's mean, which from the outside looks like "it predicts the same settings for every photo".

--lambda auto therefore picks a λ per parameter and per head, summarised in the branch header — there is no λ column in the table:

λ per param (auto): level 30000×62 100×6 | frame 3000×48 100×20

Everything piling onto the top of the grid means the model cannot read this catalog — the same information the skill column carries, one line earlier.

The gate pays for that search: λ is re-chosen inside each held-out fold, so no parameter is ever scored on the split that picked its own λ. Selecting on the folds you then report would hand each of ~90 parameters the best of six tries, and that alone is enough noise to push unpredictable sliders past the gate.

Reading the output — the go/no-go GATE#

train reports, per parameter, the held-out MAE of the model versus the "apply my average edit" baseline, plus a skill score:

skill = 1 − modelMae / baselineMae

The table splits that across the two heads:

  param                end-end  ± fold   random    shoot  in-shoot  reach   model MAE

• end-end is the skill above, and > 0 means the model beats simply applying your mean edit. ± fold is how far it moves between folds — a change smaller than that is not a change. random is the same figure on random folds; the gap is session leakage.
• shoot and in-shoot say where the skill comes from: reading the shoot, or reading this frame against its neighbours. in-shoot is the one to read — end-end can look healthy on a model that only reproduces per-shoot averages. The branch header carries the same question for the whole branch, as within-shoot skill.
• reach is how far the prediction is stretched back out after ridge shrank it: 1.00 untouched, above that the fit was too timid.
• Anchored sliders are listed in a second table below, with their anchor feature, gain and tail skill. For those, the head columns describe machinery inference does not use — a row reading 0.0% there can be shipping at 0.26.
• The headline number is the weighted skill over the image-dependent parameters (exposure, WB, contrast, highlights/shadows, dehaze/vibrance).
• Style-constant parameters (HSL, colour grading) are expected to collapse to your mean. That is correct behaviour, not a failure.

If the headline skill is not clearly positive on a real catalog, the signal is too weak — reconsider the baseline render strategy before building anything on it.

Examples#

shoots develop train --data train.jsonl --name my-style --out profiles/my-style.json

# Explicit regularization and more folds
shoots develop train --data train.jsonl --name my-style \
  --out profiles/my-style.json --lambda 2.5 --folds 10

---

shoots develop predict#

Apply a trained profile to a new develop-export dataset.

shoots develop predict --data <file> --profile <file> [options]

Options#

--treatment is a genuine creative choice at inference time — at train time it is read off the edit, but for a new frame nobody has decided colour vs B&W yet.

The base rendering is written into the sidecar#

Every predicted slider is relative to the rendering the photograph starts from, and in ACR that is a camera profile plus an optional Look: "Adobe Color" is Adobe Standard v2 with a <crs:Look> element on top, not a crs:CameraProfile value. Without an explicit profile in the sidecar Lightroom falls back to its own legacy default (Adobe Standard), so a style learned on Adobe Color lands on a different base and every slider is measured against the wrong starting point.

predict therefore writes the profile and replays the Look element verbatim, and reports what it chose:

Rendering: Adobe Standard v2 + Adobe Color (208 images)
Rendering: Camera Faithful v2 (203 images)

An unedited file states no rendering, which is the normal case — the branch's most common rendering stands in. --camera-profile overrides it and accepts either a bare profile name or a full key:

shoots develop predict --data new.jsonl --profile profiles/my-style.json \
  --camera-profile "Adobe Standard v2 + Adobe Color" --sidecars ./out-sidecars/

A Look read from embedded crs (DNG/JPEG rather than a sidecar) has no element to lift; predict emits the base profile and says so instead of pretending the rendering is complete.

The new set must use the same --baseline as the profile#

An embedded camera JPEG and a neutral external render put the same photograph at a different luminance, contrast and white point. A profile trained on one and applied to the other reads a feature vector from a space it has never seen, and the dimensions match either way, so nothing else can catch it. predict refuses the pair outright:

error: profile was trained on baseline 'external' but the dataset was exported
with 'embedded-preview' — the colour features are not comparable across
baselines. Re-export with `--baseline external`.

The profile records which baseline it was trained on; pass the same flag when exporting the set you want to predict on.

Examples#

# Export the new shoot, then predict. --baseline must match the profile's.
shoots develop export ~/Shoots/2026-07-new --baseline external --out new.jsonl

# Colour treatment, sidecars for the chosen editor
shoots develop predict --data new.jsonl --profile profiles/my-style.json \
  --treatment color --sidecars ./out-sidecars/

# Predictions as JSON for inspection
shoots develop predict --data new.jsonl --profile profiles/my-style.json \
  --out predictions.json

# A B&W variant of the same set
shoots develop predict --data new.jsonl --profile profiles/my-style.json \
  --treatment bw --sidecars ./out-sidecars-bw/

--sidecars drops one editor-readable sidecar per image — a non-destructive starting point to refine, not a finished edit. The adapter picks the format and the filename, so the flag is not called --xmp any more; --xmp still works as a deprecated alias and warns.

---

shoots develop feedback#

Compare a prediction against what the files say now — the only real-world quality signal this tool has.

shoots develop feedback --predictions <file> [options]

Options#

It accumulates — one shoot is not a measurement#

A per-parameter "kept %" over six images has a fifteen-point standard error, so the table has a floor under it. A shoot of ten photographs can never clear a flat floor of 20, which is why every run is also written to the journal and the breakdown is computed over everything recorded so far — this run's own acceptance is reported separately, above it.

Observations are per image and say nothing about which shoot they came from, so ten shoots of eight are worth as much as one shoot of eighty. An amateur with small sets still gets an answer; it just takes six months instead of one afternoon.

• The floor scales with the pool: never fewer than 3, never more than a quarter of it, never more than 20. --min-moved overrides it.
• Rows marked · cleared the floor on fewer than 20 comparisons — directional, not yet a rate.
• Newest wins per file, so re-running feedback on a shoot corrects the old observation instead of counting it twice.
• develop status reports how far the journal has got. develop clean never removes it, --all or not: it records what photographs looked like the day they were developed, and nothing can rebuild that.

Why it is not refresh-targets#

refresh-targets rebuilds a dataset to match the files as they are now, which throws away exactly what matters here: what they were before you touched them. The pair (predicted, corrected) isolates the model's error rather than your style, and it is worth more per sample than a fresh catalog edit.

Reading it#

  this shoot  kept 3.4% of the parameters either of us moved
              (58.4% counting the sliders we both left at neutral —
               that number flatters the model and is not the one to quote)
  journal     kept 3.6% over 21 images from 2 shoots

  over the journal (21 images), listed from 6 comparisons up:

  param                           moved   kept   journey   corrected by   offset
  Temperature                       590     0%       91%         463.21   +86.62
  Highlights2012                    590     0%       51%          21.54    +4.16
  Clarity2012                       251     0%      -12%           8.27    -0.14
  Dehaze                             14·    7%       22%           6.02    +1.30

What it cannot tell. This compares a prediction against whatever the file says today. If the sidecar was never imported and the photograph was edited from scratch, the gap is two independent opinions rather than the model's error. Run it on a set you actually developed from the sidecars.

---

shoots develop calibrate#

Fold the feedback journal back into the profile as per-parameter offsets — the only step that improves predictions from evidence the catalog does not contain.

shoots develop calibrate [options]

Options#

Reading it#

  journal: 21 images from 2 shoots
  21/21 still carry the rendering we wrote (100% — evidence the sidecars were imported)
  applying 50% of each measured correction, from 10 comparisons up

  color — 385 images across 5 shoots, 3 parameters offset
    param                        shoots   up/down   sigma   measured   applied
    SplitToningShadowHue              5      0/5      2.2     -18.71     -9.36
    Saturation                        5      5/0      2.2      +3.71     +1.85
    Contrast2012                      5      4/1      1.3      +1.18      0.00   (no direction)

White balance is corrected as a ratio, not in absolute Kelvin: Temperature is anchored to the as-shot value and lives in log-Kelvin, so a constant there is a multiplier. The measured column shows log units for those parameters.

One shoot is one vote#

A take is edited by pasting settings across it, so counting photographs counts a single styling decision hundreds of times. Measured on a simulated wedding — 400 frames pushed +6 against two smaller shoots pulling −5 and −6 — counting per photograph reported 16 sigma of confidence and applied +3, the direction two shoots out of three disagreed with. Per shoot the same evidence gives 0.6 sigma and applies nothing, which is the honest answer for three shoots.

This is the reasoning that already makes the trainer hold out whole folders. It matters to an amateur too: six shoots of eight frames are six votes, not 48.

What counts as held out is where the prediction came from, not where the photograph ended up. A pair recorded before its photograph became training data stays a genuine measurement forever — folding the file in afterwards cannot reach back and change a number already written down. Only a prediction made by a model that had already seen that photograph's answer is worthless, which takes going round the loop twice on one shoot — a fresh develop edit after a learn.

feedback decides it by comparing two instants: the one predict stamped on the prediction record, and the one learn recorded when it folded the photograph into training. Later prediction ⇒ in-sample. Re-running feedback on a record that has not changed is therefore not going round the loop again, and does not cost the shoot its evidence. --include-in-sample uses the in-sample pairs anyway.

Why it only ever proposes a constant#

The photographer edits from the sidecar, so every observation is partly a reaction to what was proposed rather than an independent opinion. Feeding that back as ground truth teaches the model its own output was right — repeat it and the predictions stop tracking the photographs and start tracking themselves.

An offset is the one correction where that anchoring is safe: a photographer who accepts a value they would have pushed further only makes the measured offset smaller, so the estimate errs toward under-correcting. Applying half of it means calibrating again after the next shoot takes half of what is left — the loop converges (measured: exactly 0.50× residual per round) rather than overshoots.

Growing the training set with the developed shoot is the other half of the idea and is deliberately not this command: that is export + train, on files you edited rather than files you approved.

The offsets sit beside the model in profile.calibration, never merged into its weights — --reset takes them back, predict reports how many it carries, and a retrain invalidates them (both predict and status say so).

---

shoots develop refine#

Close the loop on a shoot you have developed: feedback → learn → calibrate, with the conventional paths, in the only order that works.

shoots develop refine <shoot> [options]

Options#

It also takes the flags of the steps it wraps: --min-weight / --max-weight (from learn), --shrink / --min-shoots (from calibrate), and the train flags --lambda, --folds, --group-by, --boldness, --anchor-gain, --gate-threshold, --embedding-dim.

Why the order is fixed#

learn writes a whole new profile, so a calibrate run before it is silently thrown away. That is the whole reason this command exists.

Expect calibrate to say nothing for your first three shoots. Four is the statistical floor for an offset, not a policy — three shoots agreeing unanimously only reach 1.73 sigma. Steps 1 and 2 do their full work on every pass regardless, and the journal only grows, so from the fourth shoot on the third step contributes too and keeps contributing. refine reports it and exits successfully either way.

Repeating it on the same shoot#

refine stores nothing twice — the journal and the training dataset are both keyed by absolute file path, newest wins — and repeating it is safe, but it is not free.

Safe, because of how "in-sample" is decided. An observation is worthless only when its prediction came from a model that had already been fitted on that photograph, so feedback compares the instant predict stamped on the record against the instant learn folded the photograph in, and marks it in-sample only when the prediction is the later of the two. Re-measuring a prediction that has not changed therefore stays the clean held-out measurement it was — including after learn has folded the shoot in. Only genuinely re-running develop edit after a learn produces an in-sample pair, which is the one case that cannot measure anything.

Journals written before this existed have no timestamps to compare and fall back on the boolean recorded at the time. If a repeated refine has already marked a shoot in-sample, one more feedback on it re-measures and clears the flag — under the scheduler that needs shoots schedule run --force, since an unchanged shoot is otherwise skipped.

Not free, because learn refits, and a refit writes a whole new profile — which discards the calibration offsets measured against the old one. On identical data that is minutes of work to arrive where you already were. Run it once per shoot you develop, and let shoots schedule decide when: it skips a shoot whose photographs and sidecars have not moved since the last pass.

---

shoots develop learn#

Fold a shoot you have already developed back into the training set — weighted by how much of the prediction you had to change — and refit the profile.

shoots develop learn <shoot> [options]

calibrate moves the average of the predictions. It cannot move the part that varies photograph to photograph, because a constant cannot track a variable — and that varying part is most of what anyone would call an eye. Only refitting the model moves it, and this is the refit.

Options#

Nothing is recomputed: develop edit already left the shoot's embeddings and colour features on disk, and only the targets changed when you developed the photographs. They are re-read from the sidecars and merged by file — same file twice means the newer state wins.

Reading it#

  12 developed frames, weighted by how much you changed:
    1 you overruled     (weight ≥ 1.5 — these drive the refit)
    11 you adjusted      (around 1, like an ordinary catalog edit)
    0 you accepted      (weight ≤ 0.6 — mostly our own output coming back)

    file                                weight   correction
    R-5686.CR3                           1.80         0.38
    R-5682.CR3                           1.34         0.29
    R-5692.CR3                           0.81         0.17
    (correction 1.00 = the median for this shoot, 0.2132 in standardized units)

Why the weight is the whole point#

z_i      = mean over parameters of |actual − predicted| / spread(parameter)
weight_i = clamp(z_i / median(z), 0.25, 3)

Editing from a prediction contaminates the target: a frame you accepted almost untouched is largely the model's own output coming back as ground truth, and a model trained on its own predictions collapses onto its own habits. Those are exactly the frames with the smallest correction — so weighting by correction size down-weights the contaminated samples without having to identify them. The frames that dominate the refit are the ones where you overruled the model: the least anchored and the most informative at once.

Normalizing against the median correction rather than an absolute scale keeps this working as the model improves — when predictions get better every correction shrinks, and a fixed scale would quietly stop weighting anything.

Weights are in the fit, never in the score. Letting them into the held-out error would let the same choice that emphasized a row also decide how well the model did on it. The GATE keeps measuring what it always measured, so before and after are comparable. Standardization stays unweighted too, so a corrected shoot cannot quietly redefine the constant a gated parameter emits — that is calibrate's job.

A refit invalidates the calibration: its offsets described a model that no longer exists. The order is refit → develop a shoot → feedback → calibrate.

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shoots develop diagnose#

Style-clustering diagnostic: compares pooled prediction skill against per-style (clustered) skill.

shoots develop diagnose --data <file> [options]

Options#

Use it when pooled training underperforms. If clustered skill is clearly better, your catalog holds several distinct looks (a moody set and an airy set, say), and a single pooled model is averaging them into mush. The fix is to split the catalog and train one profile per look.

shoots develop diagnose --data train.jsonl
shoots develop diagnose --data train.jsonl --max-k 6 --folds 10

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Doing it by hand#

The everyday pipeline at the top of this page is these steps with the paths filled in. Reach for them directly when you want a dataset somewhere specific, a second profile, or the diagnostic in between:

# 1. Training dataset from your edited catalog
shoots develop export ~/Catalogs/2025-edited --edited-only   --baseline external --out train.jsonl

# 2. Fit the profile — read the GATE output carefully
shoots develop train --data train.jsonl --name my-style --out profiles/my-style.json

# 2b. Weak result? Check whether you have multiple styles
shoots develop diagnose --data train.jsonl

# 3. Export the new shoot. Same --baseline as step 1, or predict refuses the pair.
shoots develop export ~/Shoots/2026-07-new --baseline external --out new.jsonl

# 4. Predict, as sidecars — keep --out, `feedback` needs it later
shoots develop predict --data new.jsonl --profile profiles/my-style.json   --treatment color --sidecars ./out-sidecars/ --out predictions.json

# 5. After developing them, see how much of the prediction survived
shoots develop feedback --predictions predictions.json

Upgrading, rather than starting fresh? When the target side changed — a fixed tag, a new schema parameter, a stricter "edited" test — step 1 is refresh-targets instead of a re-export, and the features are reused:

shoots develop refresh-targets --data train.jsonl --out train-v2.jsonl
shoots develop train --data train-v2.jsonl --name my-style --out profiles/my-style.json

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See also#

• Develop predictor guide — what is predicted and why
• Configuration — SHOOTS_RAW_DEVELOPER and friends